Platform overview

v2.1.0productionSource: Cloud Run API(res-bess-api-m7sef6orza-ey.a.run.app)Updated 18 Jun 2026, 11:05

Decision light

green

Production-ready for decision support with standard human review.

Production ready: Yes

⚠ Advisory modules low confidence (non-blocking): capture.

Data readiness

95.6%

decision-ready

Scenario price (mean)

€89.19

P95 €148.09/MWh

BESS expected value

€24.34k

7-day LP arbitrage window

PPA optimal fraction

85%

CVaR €1.06M

Data readiness

95.6

Band: decision ready

Scenario engine

joint_scenario_engine_v2

Paths: 200
Horizon: 168h
Price mean: €89.19/MWh
P05 – P95: €20.56 – €148.09
Copula ρ(gen, price): -0.423
t-copula df: 4

Module outputs

Day-Ahead Forecast

critical

€78.68/MWh

medium confidence

Capture Rate (Causal)

advisory

0.9004

low confidence

15-min Paths

critical

€41.10/MWh

medium confidence

BESS Dispatch

critical

€24.34k

medium confidence

PPA Tail Risk

critical

85%

medium confidence

Crisis Alpha

advisory

€228.67

medium confidence

Action hints by role

Portfolio Manager
Core inputs are strong enough for BESS and PPA shadow-testing and production decision support.
Quant / Risk
Scenario Engine v2 uses t-copula coupled (generation, price) paths — PPA and BESS share one joint scenario set.
BESS Operator
Foresight gap averages €264 — treat as advisory upside, not base-case revenue.
BESS Operator
BESS LP spread-capture is positive; validate against real SoC limits before live dispatch.
PPA Originator
CVaR-optimal sold fraction 85% — start shadow contract sizing here.
Risk Manager
Wide price tail in scenarios; require manual approval for larger PPA volume or aggressive BESS.

Validation & drift

DA forecast MAE: €15.91/MWh
PI80 coverage: 76.8%✓ gate
Relative mean drift: -6.3%